Blog

We are 71-47 on the year and +11.59 units on the year.

Before we get going, are the leafs bad? It’s worth a conversation.

Todays Picks:

Dallas @ Tampa:

Tampa is back, bet em.

The Pick: Tampa -148

Calgary @ Ottawa:

I think the line is off, let’s take the flames.

The Pick: Calgary +145

Nashville @ Philly:

Philly at home in honor of Zupa.

The Pick: Philly -155

Buffalo @ Boston:

What a bad game, take the home team.

The Pick: Boston -102

New York Islanders @ Carolina:

Canes gonna smoke em

Hurricanes -218

Chicago @ Winnipeg:

Chicago has been fun to bet on….. I’m taking the Jets

The Pick: Jets -230

Pittsburgh Minnesota:

The pick: Minny -175

Van @ STL:

The pick: blues -155

NYR @ Oilers:

Rangers are horrid take the oil.

The Pick: Oilers -162

New Jersey Devils @ Sharks

SHARKS AT HOME

The Pick: sharks +170

Detroit @ Los Angeles

The Pick: Detroit +124

Well that was something. There is something about the way they do the coverage that just doesn’t work. It seems slow. With the NFL, the 1pm slate is perfect, but Maybe its because of intermissions and things that it just doesn’t work as well. If I could run it, I’d start 6 games at 7, 6 games at 7:20, 6 games at 7:40, and the rest at 8? Then the intermissions are covered.

Key takeaways from yesterday:

Okay Little Bedzy is shoving me in a locker. Little guy had a hat trick against the Senators. Well let me rephrase that, the little guy played well against a bad team (I can’t be positive about little bedzy but he might be good.)

Detroit is absolute WAGON. If they go on this road trip and make noise……….. Lon is going to go nuts.

Colorado spanked the Devils, taking the title as the best team in the NHL.

Edmonton is sus.

Finally, what is our total at now? We are now at 10.69 units up on the season, with a 10-4 record yesterday.

One game tonight.

Toronto @ Columbus:

Columbus is 1-3-0 at home, but tonight they make it 2-3.

The Pick: Blue Jackets -111

Lon went 1-1 yesterday, we are still at +6.44 units on blogs. Today…. is my super bowl. Every team plays tonight in a staggered March Madness style staggered start WITH A REDZONE TYPE BROADCAST. We are going to pick every game, lets not waste time, lets get to the picks.

Best Bets: Red wings -1.5, Ducks +150, and a goal parlay.

To score parlayed together: Kadri (Flames,) Jarvis (Carolina,) Barzal (NYI,) Kucherov (TBL,) Raymond (Wings.) $3 to win a grand

Calgary @ Toronto:

This one is easy, Flames are bad, Leafs are better. Take the stronger team

The Pick: Toronto -175

Pittsburgh @ Phily:

Oh my god I keep betting against the Pens and they keep screwing me. Tonight, we bet Philly and pray.

The Pick: Flyers -170.

Vegas @ Carolina:

Canes are the best team in hockey, Ill take them.

The Pick: Carolina -148.

Columbus @ Buffalo:

Sabres have been good lately and Columbus, although I have told you they have the juice, don’t look like they do.

The Pick: Buffalo -115

Anaheim @ Panthers:

Panthers are 5-5, struggling early and hurt. Lets take the young away team to see if they can sneak away with one here.

The Pick: Ducks +150

New York Islanders @ Boston:

The Isles are must watch TV, and the Boston Bruins are a glorified ECHL team (excluding Swayman and Pasta.)

The Pick: New York Islanders -155

Tampa Bay @ Nashville:

The lightning have arrived. That is all.

The Pick: Tampa -155

Winnipeg @ Minnesota:

Contender for game of the night. Two good squads. I am going to talk myself into something here. I am going to tell myself this is the game that Minny wins that sets their season on a great trajectory. Give me the Wild.

The Pick: Minnesota -105

Detroit @ St. Louis:

Oh God, please do not make me bet against my Red Wings. But after blowing an 0-4 lead in Detroit, you might have to take the Blues? Nah….. Blues are banged up and their top 6 isn’t as good (currently) as ours.

The Pick: Detroit -110

Washington @ Dallas:

Great game, Ovi clappers at the Dallas defense will not be getting through however. Take the stars.

The Pick: Dallas -130

Ottawa @ Chicago:

Ottawa absolutely smoked Boston last night. I expect a closer game with Little Bedzy’s squad playing quality hockey.

The Pick: Chicago +120

New Jersey @ Colorado:

The two bests teams in hockey playing tonight, when every team is playing? Come on NHL.

The Pick: Avalanche – 162

Utah @ Edmonton:

I am concerned about the Oilers. They are frauds. Take Utah.

The Pick: Utah +130

New York Rangers @ Vancouver:

Oh my god what a horrid game. No one will be watching this. Just take the home team.

The Pick: Canucks – 102

Montreal @ Seattle:

Montreal got off to a hot start and is slowly coming down. I like the Kraken today.

The Pick: Kraken +105

Los Angeles @ San Jose:

SHAKRS AT HOME, SHARKS AT HOME.

The Pick: Sharks +180

Good god that was a lot of typing, enjoy this.

-Lon

Weekend Takeaways:

The Red Wings went down 0-4 and somehow won 6-4. Lon was there with boots on the ground, so that was awesome. Electric atmosphere, great Labatt Blue’s on tap, and the most secretive good parking lot that I am a frequent parker at downtown. Its the little things.

The Lightning are back and Vasi is playing better. We need to remember this as we go forward with our picks.

The Devils are Cup Contenders. Its all about health with them. Last year they didn’t have a team in playoffs so we will see.

Are the Oilers even good? They stand currently at 4-4 with a -3 Goal Differential. You get McDavid back on a mid-term deal that basically says “I don’t think we are built to win a Stanley Cup, so I am going to give you a couple years to figure it out then leave” and your team goes 4-4. There is trouble in Oiler Land. McDavid, back your bags to Detroit and ask for the trade.

Lets get to tonight’s Lines:

Two games tonight.

St. Louis at Pittsburgh:

The Penguins are 6-2. I think its an incredibly flawed 6-2, and I am kind of shook by this, but they actually don’t look bad. However….. they are a bad hockey team, and we bet against bad teams. I think this one is a mega slam dunk. Blues coming off a horrid loss away to Detroit and heading to the blues means 1 of 2 things.

1. The Blues are going to slide.
2. They are going to destroy the Pens.

The Pick: Blues -120

Boston @ Ottawa:

This game, I think you’d have to threaten me to watch. Just hammer the Blues and skip this one.

The Pick: Ottawa -170

Hopefully you enjoy the slate today.

-Lon

Welp, this one hurt. 5 Wins, 7 losses last night. -1.44 units but we are still up 5 units on the year. Lets get it back tonight.

Key Takeaways:

Chicago might be good. I absolutely hate Little Bedzy but damn it, they are winning some hockey games.

Anaheim continues to make us money.

San Jose is sneaky, and we made money off them last night.

I am going to forgive the Red Wings for the last two nights and move to BOOTS ON THE GROUND Saturday.

Today’s games:

Only four games tonight.

Toronto @ Buffalo:

This kicks off a home and home between the two teams. Buffalo is +105 at home and have found their stride as of late. Ill take the Sabres at home at +105 and hope they stay hot.

The Pick: Buffalo +105

San Jose @ New Jersey:

+280 coming off a back to back in New York? Gosh, I want to take them bad but that just seems crazy.

The Pick: New Jersey -360 (do not bet this game.)

Washington @ Columbus:

Here he goes again, telling you to take the Jackets but damn it, I like them at home. 3-3 start is tough. Its not a must win actually, but they should give their best effort tonight.

The Pick: Columbus -105

Calgary @ Winnipeg:

Just hammer Winnipeg -1.5 and go to sleep. Jets losing and then playing the Shitter Flames. Take the the Peg.

The Pick: Winnipeg -195

God lets win some bets and get to a winning day.

-Lon

One win, two losses yesterday. Still up 6.44 units on the year.

Key Takeaways:

Buffalo is good at hockey again.

Detroit looked like they skated in mud for the last 40 minutes.

Calgary is a complete shitter.

Tonight’t games:

Twelve games tonight

Chicago @ Tampa:

Not going to do this anymore, don’t take this bet but I am betting against Little Bedzy.

The Pick: Tampa -320

Anaheim @ Boston:

I really like Anaheim right now. At even money at Boston, Ill take them. I still believe Boston is a bad hockey club.

The Pick: Anaheim -100

Philadelphia @ Ottawa:

Ottawa is not good at hockey. Them being home scares me, but take the Flyers for good value.

The Pick: Flyers +135

Pittsburgh @ Florida:

The Penguins are 5-2. Its honestly impressive, but this where it starts to turn for them. On the road at the Panthers, Ill take the Panthers at home. (I would not bet this with $ tho, odds are bad.)

The Pick: Florida -195

Detroit @ New York Islanders:

Islanders have looked good as of late. I just think the Wings are that much better. Personally I am excited to watch the Isles defense corps tonight.

The Pick: Detroit +115

San Jose @ New York Rangers:

I like San Jose on the road for those odds. Just do it with me.

The Pick: San Jose +225

Utah @ St. Louis:

Utah took down arguably the best team in the league the other night. However, after an emotional win heading to St. Louis, can they carry the momentum? Let’s say yes.

The Pick: Utah -100

Vancouver @ Nashville:

This might be the worst hockey game ever. Nashville is just boring. Ill take em at home.

The Pick: Nashville -115

Seattle @ Winnipeg:

Seattle is 3-2, they came back to Earth. Winnipeg is a wagon, just run with the Jets.

The Pick: Winnipeg -225

Los Angeles @ Dallas:

LA is randomly ass.

The Pick: Dallas – 145

Carolina @ Colorado:

Canes lost to Vegas, then head to Denver. I think the best bet here is to take Colorado, but this is a great matchup.

The Pick: Colorado -130

Montreal @ Edmonton:

Great matchup. My best bet is for Edmonton to absolutely steam role the Habs tonight coming off a back to back.

The Pick: Edmonton – 225.

I love doing this for fun because I see every score the NHL has and helps me know puck. We went 6-4 last night to win 1.91 units. We are now 43-33 and are up 7.64 units on the year. How about we get to ten?

Key Takeaways from last night:

Toronto is somehow bad? I mean losing your best winger will do that to a team early in the year, but man they are trash. 5-2 to New Jersey isn’t the worst loss, but they are losing to teams that folks didn’t expect them to. I look at the Leafs, and I see maybe Atlantic 3 spot. Lets see what happens but we may need to avoid them for a bit.

Edmonton won, that is massive as they have been on the struggle bus to start the year. How crazy is it that the past two seasons, they have started off worse than this season? Both those years…. Stanley Cup Finals. Crazy.

Is Pittsburgh not bad? No they are bad, idk what is going on there.

Best Bets: Michael Brandsegg-Nygard to score in Det vs Buf.

Tonight’s Slate:

Only three games tonight.

Minnesota @ New Jersey Devils:

I think the Devils may have found their stride. I just think Minny is a good team and New Jersey is on a back to back. I am going with Minny here.

The Pick: Minnesota +115

Detroit Red Wings @ Sabres:

A Pick em on Wednesday night TNT. Buffalo has found their stride as of late scoring a ton of goals, but they are about to go up against a defensively sound (did I really say that about Detroit?) Wings team. I am siding with the first place Detroit Red Wings.

The Pick: Detroit -105

Montreal @ Calgary:

Calgary. Have heard nothing but great reviews of this Albertan city. Close to some gorgeous national parks, but when winter comes, its time for hockey. There is nothing to do but watch hockey and knock down some foamers. If this is the case, you need to move now. Your next ten winters are going to be unbearable. As a Detroit Fan, I know this very well. Get out, move to the Caribbean. Its not worth it.

The Pick: Montreal -125

Hope you all have a great day,

-Lon

Okay we are back. 3-2 on yesterday up .44 units on the day and up 5.73 units on the year. Current record is 42-29. Couple key takeaways from last night.

Wife got me Mumford and Son’s tickets. They are insane, and now they better be wings fans.

Philly is good at hockey. We will continue to make money here.

Montreal is starting to lose hockey games? Something to watch.

Vegas, good future bet to take right there beating Carolina at home.

Now to today’s Picks:

Best Bets: Edmonton -130, San Jose +190, Anaheim +115.

Ten games tonight, lots of $ to be made.

New Jersey @ Toronto:

Toronto’s start has been a bit rough. I like Stolarz coming out and going at his team a bit in the press. This is a good matchup tonight, and its essentially a pick em. I am going to take the Leafs, although I wish I could just not bet this game.

The Pick: Toronto -120

Edmonton @ Ottawa:

Edmonton starting off 2-3 is surprising, and it seems Bouchard is struggling early. On the other hand, as a Red Wings fan its hard to feel for the Senators, but in a way I do. Brady going down just makes this team……. not bettable right now. They could surprise me, but we are taking the Oil.

The Pick: Edmonton – 130

San Jose @ New York Islanders:

If you told me my ears would perk up hearing these two teams play a month ago I’d be shocked. But this matchup is electric. I like the Sharks on the Road here at +190. Juicy odds, and the line seems off with the Isles at -225. The Isles should not be that number against anyone. Play the odds here.

The Pick: San Jose +190

Vancouver @ Pittsburgh:

What a weird game. Pitt off to a 4-2 record is surprising. However when you dig deeper, their schedule has been kind of easy to start the year? I am going to take the Canucks here as I believe the Penguins are horrid.

The Pick: Vancouver – 110

Seattle @ Washington:

Daccord got peppered yesterday. I think Seattle’s magic is out. This is purely because I have to bet every game that I am taking Washington, but don’t bet it.

The Pick: Washington -260

Florida @ Boston:

I have made money betting against Florida in the past, and lost betting against the Bruins. I am going to stick with my gut here and play the Panthers. I know that the Bruins are not good, please don’t prove me wrong Bruins.

The Pick: Florida -150.

Los Angeles @ St. Louis:

Los Angeles going 1-3 is hilarious. They seem flat. Everything about them, flat. I like betting against flat. Take the home team.

The Pick: St. Louis -135.

Anaheim @ Nashville:

What do ya say…… we keep making money on Anaheim?

The Pick: Anaheim +115

Columbus @ Dallas:

This is a great game. Columbus has started slower than we all expected. Going on the road to Dallas doesn’t seem ideal. I could see them winning, but I have been burnt too many times this season. Ill be safe and take the home team.

The Pick: Dallas -190.

Colorado @ Utah:

5-0 Colorado coming to Utah. I like home odds that are plus money. This is gambling baby. Lets take the home squad and hope for some goals.

The Pick: Utah +120.

I hope you all enjoy the slate tonight. Tuesday night hockey is electric.

Love you,

Lon

Okay I got distracted. Blogging every game took a tough turn once the sauce got turned on. Lets get back on track.

BTW, Friday we went 2-2 for a total unit loss of .06 Units. Good thing being we are still +5.29 units on the year.

Five Games Tonight:

Minnesota @ New York:

Rangers beating the Habs Saturday give them some juice. I just kind of hate buying into them, even at home against this gritty Minny Team.

The Pick: Minnesota +110

Seattle @ Philly:

Okay lets see if Seattle’s magical start goes cold here. Or if Daccord shoves me in a locker.

The Pick: Philly -130

Buffalo @ Montreal:

I feel like if you have read my blog before, you should know that Montreal at home is a great bet. If I was a better blogger I’d add the Cole Caufield game winning goal and the crowd eruption to show you, but your boy isn’t that smart.

The Pick: Montreal -150

Winnipeg @ Calgary:

Flames fans…. I am sorry. I know the feeling. This is the first time our friend Zupa isn’t bitching about our team on twitter. There is light at the end of the tunnel. New stadium, new youth….. it ends there. They are dead.

The Pick: Winnipeg -150

Carolina @ Vegas:

Holy wagon battle. Two unbeaten teams, facing off in Vegas? Sign me up. I will be screaming my lungs out at Mumford and Sons tonight, then will sneak a quick Jack Daniels Blackberry (I am sorry I bought this I was feeling it) to watch the second period.

I hope you all enjoy,

-Lon

You knew it was coming eventually, but this hurts. We went 4-7. -4.48 units. Oof. Our new season unit total has been slashed to +5.35 units with a record of 37-25. We move on, leave it in the past.

Key Takeaways from yesterday:

The Flyers got boat raced. Penguins told me to go F myself. NYI beat Edmonton? Just pure chaos, that I wasn’t on the right side of.

Lets get to the picks:

Only four games tonight.

Tampa Bay @ Detroit:

The 3-1 Wings against a contender Tampa team that is 1-2. The market will correct itself, but not tonight.

The Pick: Detroit +125

Minnesota @ Washington:

This one is essentially a pick em, so lets take the home team.

The Pick: Minnesota

Vancouver @ Chicago:

IS LON ABOUT TO BET ON LITTLE BEDZY? No. Take the Canucks.

The Pick: Vancouver -145

San Jose @ Utah:

Utah is .500 on the year, and I am not very impressed. For the juice, lets take San Jose tonight and see how it goes.

The Pick: +215.

We need to sweep tonight. Last night was embarrassing.

Enjoy,

Lon